Thursday, December 4, 2008

Why were the attacks on Bombay timed for now?

Looking back, there are four reasons why the attacks were done on Bombay (or should I say, India) at this scale.

01. Peace process between India and Pakistan is seeing unprecedented success

02. Pakistan has a newly elected (elected is the key word) government, the dictatorship loyalists are certainly not too happy with

03. The US has been taking help of the Pak government to hit targets in the Northern border of Pakistan

04. The US and India are seen as friends for the first time, like never before

In this situation, the terrorist organizations that were part of the Pak government during the dictatorship want to divert attention of the world including India and Pakistan to LOC between the two neighbours.

So how do these, so called ‘terrorist organizations’ gain?

With a large scale attack on India, they can fire emotions between the two neighbours. Leading to reduction in forces in the Northern border of Pakistan. With the economies at and all time low, both India and Pakistan will only crash their economies further. US will focus on the tension between India and Pakistan and will lose a certain amount of focus in Afghanistan, particularly when they won’t have Pak support in the Afghan border. This gives the terrorists time to build their fire power in Afghanistan and regain their lost world. Further, Pak may be seen losing the war, helping military led government to come back to Pakistan.

Hope the Indian and Pakistani governments are listening. Do not play into the hands of the terrorists.

1 comment:

Sujaya said...

Looks like besides talking to you at home, I am also gabbing away on your blog.

Yes, we should not be provoked by the situation and act hastily. I am sure the governmenta nd the diplomats are at work trying to achieve a long term solution. Otherwise it could turn into a voltile situation. As the Pakistan Army is sulking as it is dropped out of favour in Pakistan. A milkitary action by India could effectively give them the rule back.